Polynomial series are one of the simplest and most useful mathematical functions, and have two important uses in statistics.
- Fitting regression curves, as described in Unit 14,
and,
- Approximating complex frequency distributions using simpler ones.
However, whilst polynomials are reasonably good at interpolation, they are notoriously unreliable for extrapolation. Also, because it is the same a which appears in each term, the terms within a polynomial tend to be related.
Curiously enough, where y=0, it is known as a polynomial equation. Also, because x0=1 and x1=x, the general form is often simplified to
y = c0 + c1x + c2x2 ... + cixi
The highest power ( i ) of x is known as its degree or order. So a 'third order polynomial' should contain 3 terms. However, if any of the constants equal zero, they may be omitted. So, for example, if c0, c1, c2 & c3 = 0 but c4 = 1,
then a fourth-order polynomial (in powers of x) simplifies to x4
More importantly, if you stop calculating a polynomial after the first i terms, (in principle at least) all of the trailing terms can be combined to form a remainder, Ri - the relative magnitude of which provides a measure of how good an approximation is provided by the leading i-term polynomial.